I cannot forecast to you the action of Russia.It is a riddle wrapped in a mystery inside an enigma; but perhaps there is a key. 我無法預測俄羅斯的行動。它是一個謎團中的謎團; 但也許有一把鑰匙可以解開。
That key is Russian national interest. It cannot be in accordance with the interest of the safety of Russia that Germany should plant itself upon the shores of the Black Sea, or that it should overrun the Balkan States and subjugate the Slavonic peoples of south eastern Europe, That would be contrary to the historic life-interests of Russia.關鍵是俄羅斯的國家利益。 德國在黑海沿岸紮根,或侵占巴爾幹國家,征服東南歐的斯拉夫民族,不符合俄羅斯的安全利益, 俄羅斯的歷史性與民族利益。