(The entire article was written by me and then revised and supplemented with additional information by ChatGPT before being translated into English.)
—來自林晏丞發佈於林晏丞的沙龍 https://vocus.cc/article/67c2bd19fd89780001b7dc16
為盡其周全,我反覆看了白宮會談影片和過往美國、俄羅斯、烏克蘭的烏克蘭的政要接受的BBC訪問影片與一些會議報導,這是我的結論與對美國正副總統的呼籲,再用Chatgpt進行歷史補充和修正。
在中共和俄羅斯、北韓、伊朗與被中共收買的非洲及南美獨裁政權,共同交換利益、供應鏈,甚至在軍警鎮壓本土民眾上互相支援、以及在俄烏戰爭上提供軍事力量和派遣軍人支援俄羅斯侵略烏克蘭、在聯合國上聯手反對支持人權違背獨裁者利益的議案,在狀況如此嚴峻之際,歐洲民主國家和美國一直支持烏克蘭的領土完整和自治民主,在軍事、財政、政治上支持烏克蘭,也暗示表態對中共侵害人權及試圖侵略台灣的行為表達反對。美國在拜登時期嘗試與歐洲國家團結,川普總統縱然被批評與普丁和習近平過於友好,但從更長時間來看,他的單邊主義試圖以美國利益為優先並對抗獨裁威權政權。在他允諾與澤倫斯基的稀土協議中,他也表明將確保烏克蘭民眾安全和主權獨立。此協議對烏美雙方皆有利,烏克蘭可藉美國技術開發得到安全保障與經濟重建資源,美國則可獲得重要的稀土供應。
然而,川普的過於常態性的失言是他所要面對的問題和考驗。他過往曾稱澤倫斯基為「獨裁者」,儘管現在否認或聲稱忘記,已經引起國際社會的強烈反彈。俄羅斯控制的社交媒體也試圖製造烏克蘭政府是「獨裁」的輿論,以削弱國際對烏克蘭的支持,這或多或少影響了美國的國際威信與民主陣營的團結。
川普與美國國務院日前在沙烏地阿拉伯試圖與俄羅斯談判,我要提醒川普總統及其團隊,歷史已經證明獨裁者不可信任。普丁曾在接受法國與德國總理的停火談判後不久,便再次發動侵略。而此次談判中,川普團隊並未邀請烏克蘭參與,這不僅不公平,也對普丁沒有任何約束力。近期,川普與澤倫斯基在白宮會晤,兩人一開始表達了希望俄烏戰爭停火的共同目標,川普肯定了烏克蘭人民的勇敢,澤倫斯基則感謝美國政府與人民的支持。但隨後,白宮內部出現了針對澤倫斯基服裝不夠正式的批評,接著副總統 JD Vance 則表示「是民主黨某些人的強硬言論導致普丁的侵略」,並強調外交手段才能達成和平。對此,澤倫斯基回應,在 2014-2022 年間,烏克蘭已歷經多次失敗的和平談判,法國與德國皆曾嘗試與普丁交涉,但未能阻止俄羅斯的進一步侵略。他質疑 JD Vance 的說法,並表示美國與國際社會應該正視俄羅斯的野心。
然而,JD Vance 突然要求澤倫斯基應該「感謝川普」,指控他在白宮內「缺乏尊重」。這番言論引發雙方激烈爭論,川普則強調自己提供了「真正的武器」,相較之下歐巴馬政府僅提供「床單」。最令人震驚的是,當記者詢問如果普丁違反停火協議時該如何應對,川普竟改而批評「民主黨製造了普丁被政治迫害的陰謀」,並稱此事「來自拜登的臥室,充滿噁心」,這種言論嚴重損害美國的外交可信度。
烏克蘭歷史中的獨裁侵略與克里米亞被併吞
回顧歷史,烏克蘭長期遭受外來獨裁勢力的壓迫。1932-1933 年,蘇聯斯大林發動「霍洛多莫爾大饑荒」,透過糧食徵收政策導致數百萬烏克蘭人餓死,意圖摧毀烏克蘭民族認同。1941 年,納粹德國入侵蘇聯,烏克蘭淪為戰場,期間納粹與蘇聯先後對烏克蘭人民進行屠殺與鎮壓。二戰結束後,蘇聯持續以強權手段控制烏克蘭,壓制民族主義運動,進行政治清洗。
2014 年,俄羅斯在未經國際認可的情況下吞併克里米亞,違反 1994 年《布達佩斯安全保障備忘錄》,該備忘錄承諾尊重烏克蘭的領土完整,以換取烏克蘭放棄核武。俄羅斯透過軍事介入與操控當地公投,強行併吞克里米亞,這為 2022 年全面侵略烏克蘭埋下伏筆。
國際團結與未來展望
在現今獨裁勢力如此團結一致的狀況下,如同台灣賴總統及歐洲各國領袖所強調的,國際民主陣營必須團結互助,來應對獨裁勢力的威脅,守護和平、民主、自由與人權。
烏克蘭與歐洲民主國家都憂心自身的安全與民主發展,因此討論派遣歐洲維和部隊以確保烏克蘭民眾不受俄羅斯侵擾。我呼籲國際人權組織與記者深入當地,協助烏克蘭重建家園。
同時,我呼籲川普總統與其團隊,讓美國與烏克蘭的安全保障協議(如稀土協議)能夠盡速落實,確保俄羅斯軍隊無法再對烏克蘭人民構成威脅。歷史證明,對獨裁者的強硬威懾比談判更有效,當然談判仍然重要,但必須輔以實力確保和平得以維持。
川普總統與 JD Vance 副總統,你們的言論影響國際秩序,可能助長獨裁者認為美國不會捍衛民主國家。在獨裁者的不理性情況下,這可能導致更多侵略與威脅。歷史是最好的借鏡,請勿輕忽。作為領袖,應該以謙卑、智慧與真理來領導國家。
English Version
As China, Russia, North Korea, Iran, and dictatorial regimes in Africa and South America (bought by the Chinese Communist Party) exchange interests, supply chains, and even support each other in military and police repression of their own people—while also providing military assistance and personnel to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and jointly opposing human rights resolutions at the United Nations—democratic nations in Europe and the United States have continuously supported Ukraine’s territorial integrity and democratic sovereignty. They have provided military, financial, and political support to Ukraine, implicitly signaling opposition to China’s human rights abuses and attempts to invade Taiwan.
During President Biden’s tenure, the U.S. attempted to unite with European nations. Although former President Trump has been criticized for being overly friendly with Putin and Xi Jinping, his long-term approach has focused on prioritizing American interests and countering authoritarian regimes. In his agreement with President Zelensky on rare-earth cooperation, he also expressed commitment to ensuring the safety and sovereignty of the Ukrainian people. This agreement benefits both the U.S. and Ukraine: Ukraine gains security guarantees and economic rebuilding resources through American technology, while the U.S. secures a crucial rare-earth supply.
However, Trump’s frequent controversial statements remain a challenge. He previously referred to Zelensky as a “dictator,” and though he later denied or claimed to have forgotten, this provoked strong international backlash. Russian-controlled social media has also sought to portray the Ukrainian government as “authoritarian” to undermine global support for Ukraine, which may have affected U.S. international credibility and unity within the democratic camp.
Recently, the Trump administration and the U.S. State Department attempted negotiations with Russia in Saudi Arabia. I must remind President Trump and his team that history has repeatedly proven that dictators cannot be trusted. Putin, after negotiating ceasefire agreements with the French and German leaders, soon launched further invasions. In these negotiations, Ukraine was not even invited—a move that is not only unfair but also imposes no real constraints on Putin.
At a White House meeting between Trump and Zelensky, both initially expressed a shared goal of ending the war. Trump praised the bravery of the Ukrainian people, and Zelensky expressed gratitude for U.S. government and public support. However, internal criticism soon emerged regarding Zelensky’s attire, and Vice President JD Vance later claimed that “hardline rhetoric from some Democrats provoked Putin’s aggression,” arguing that diplomacy was the only path to peace.
In response, Zelensky pointed out that from 2014 to 2022, Ukraine had undergone multiple failed peace negotiations, including French and German efforts to engage with Putin, none of which stopped Russian aggression. He questioned Vance’s statement and urged the U.S. and the international community to recognize Russia’s true ambitions.
However, Vance suddenly insisted that Zelensky should “thank Trump,” accusing him of showing a “lack of respect” at the White House. This triggered intense debate. Trump defended himself by claiming he provided “real weapons,” unlike the Obama administration, which only sent “blankets.” Most shockingly, when asked how the U.S. should respond if Putin violated a ceasefire, Trump shifted to attacking the “Democratic conspiracy” against Putin, saying, “It comes from Biden’s bedroom, and it’s disgusting.” Such remarks severely damage U.S. diplomatic credibility.
Historical Dictatorial Invasions of Ukraine & the Annexation of Crimea
Looking at history, Ukraine has long suffered under external authoritarian oppression. In 1932-1933, Soviet dictator Joseph Stalin orchestrated the Holodomor, a man-made famine that killed millions of Ukrainians through forced grain requisitioning, intending to destroy Ukrainian national identity.
In 1941, Nazi Germany invaded the Soviet Union, turning Ukraine into a battleground. Both Nazi and Soviet forces carried out massacres and brutal repression against Ukrainians. After World War II, the Soviet Union continued to impose authoritarian control over Ukraine, suppressing nationalist movements and carrying out political purges.
In 2014, Russia annexed Crimea in violation of international law, breaking the 1994 Budapest Memorandum on Security Assurances, in which Ukraine agreed to give up its nuclear weapons in exchange for guarantees of territorial integrity. Russia used military intervention and manipulated a referendum to forcibly take over Crimea, setting the stage for its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022.
International Solidarity & Future Outlook
With authoritarian powers more united than ever, as emphasized by Taiwan’s President Lai and European leaders, democratic nations must stand together to counter these threats and defend peace, democracy, freedom, and human rights.
Ukraine and European democracies are deeply concerned about their security and democratic development. Discussions on deploying European peacekeeping forces to protect Ukrainian civilians from Russian aggression have intensified. I urge international human rights organizations and journalists to investigate conditions on the ground and support Ukraine’s rebuilding efforts.
At the same time, I call on President Trump and his team to ensure that U.S.-Ukraine security agreements (such as the rare-earth deal) are swiftly implemented to prevent further Russian military threats to Ukrainian civilians. History has shown that strong deterrence is more effective than negotiations alone—though diplomacy remains important, it must be backed by strength to maintain peace.
President Trump and Vice President JD Vance, your statements influence the international order and may embolden dictators who believe the U.S. will not defend democratic nations. Given the irrationality of authoritarian leaders, such rhetoric could lead to more invasions and threats.
History is the best teacher—do not underestimate it. As leaders, you must guide the nation with humility, wisdom, and truth.